🥋 Boxing
Sat, Mar 28, 7:00 PM ETKevin Newman II
Away
@
Elijah Garcia
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-370
AI Pick
Edge: total
74%
TOTAL
Under 8.5
Confidence74%
Elijah Garcia 79%Kevin Newman II 27%
AI Analysis
1
Total set at 8.5 with Over priced at -270 (73%) and Under at +215 (32%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 79% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +285 best available on Kevin Newman II offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 25-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 7.5% to expected ROI. Best available at BetRivers vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
II
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
6
GARCIA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | II | GARCIA |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
6
Overround
6.2%
Best Elijah Garcia
-370 (DraftKings)
Best Kevin Newman II
+285 (BetRivers)
Line Shopping Range
Garcia: -420 to -370
II: +260 to +285
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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