Taking the contrarian side here: despite Brandon Adams being the public favorite, the 6.5% overround and +400 best line on Caoimhin Agyarko suggest inflated chalk pricing.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 85% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +400 best available on Caoimhin Agyarko offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Line shopping is critical here — 70-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 21.0% to expected ROI. Best available at BetUS vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.