Naoya Inoue commands 79% implied win probability with 5-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 79% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +310 best available on Junto Nakatani offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Line shopping is critical here — 85-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 25.5% to expected ROI. Best available at FanDuel vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.