Taking the contrarian side here: despite RB Leipzig being the public favorite, the 7.3% overround and +460 best line on Borussia Monchengladbach suggest inflated chalk pricing.

Soccer markets must price the draw, making two-way moneyline analysis incomplete. With RB Leipzig at 67% and the draw probability implied around 14%, this is a clear market lean but draw risk remains ever-present. Home pitch advantage is significant in soccer.

Line shopping is critical here — 70-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 21.0% to expected ROI. Best available at BetRivers vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.