Taking the contrarian side here: despite Bayern Munich being the public favorite, the 6.3% overround and +1400 best line on 1. FC Köln suggest inflated chalk pricing.

Soccer markets must price the draw, making two-way moneyline analysis incomplete. With Bayern Munich at 87% and the draw probability implied around 5%, this is a clear market lean but draw risk remains ever-present. Home pitch advantage is significant in soccer.

Line shopping is critical here — 350-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 105.0% to expected ROI. Best available at BetOnline.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.