MLB
Wed, May 13, 6:46 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies
Away
@
Boston Red Sox
Home
Spread
+1.5
Total
9
ML
-134
AI Pick
Edge: value
75%
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence75%
Boston Red Sox 57%Philadelphia Phillies 46%
AI Analysis
1

Market pricing Philadelphia Phillies at 46% implied probability, but the best available line at +121 (BetUS) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

2

Baseball is a moneyline-driven sport where even heavy favorites only win ~60-65% of the time. The 57/46 split represents a competitive game where underdog value often materializes. Line shopping yields a +121 vs +108 range on the dog.

3

Overround at just 3.9% signals an unusually efficient market — edges here are small but more likely to be real. This is a low-vig environment where the math is reliable.

Matchup Overview
PHILLIES
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
SOX
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookPHILLIESSOX
FanDuel+1.5 -176-1.5 +146
Fanatics+1.5 -180-1.5 +150
MyBookie.ag+1.5 -177-1.5 +142
LowVig.ag+1.5 -170-1.5 +150
BetOnline.ag+1.5 -170-1.5 +149
Caesars+1.5 -170-1.5 +143
DraftKings+1.5 -181-1.5 +149
BetUS+1.5 -170-1.5 +148
BetRivers+1.5 -190-1.5 +150
BetMGM+1.5 -180-1.5 +150
Bovada+1.5 -180-1.5 +155
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
3.9%
Best Boston Red Sox
-131 (LowVig.ag)
Best Philadelphia Phillies
+121 (BetUS)
Line Shopping Range
Sox: -140 to -131
Phillies: +108 to +121
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

Share This Pick
More MLB Picks
MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers
SPREAD
Texas Rangers +1.5
MLB
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros
SPREAD
Houston Astros +1.5
MLB
Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins
SPREAD
Miami Marlins +1.5