⚾ MLB
Wed, May 13, 6:41 PM ETColorado Rockies
Away
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Home
Spread
+1.5
Total
8.5
ML
-184
AI Pick
Edge: value
65%
MONEYLINE
Colorado Rockies
Confidence65%
Pittsburgh Pirates 65%Colorado Rockies 39%
AI Analysis
1
Market pricing Colorado Rockies at 39% implied probability, but the best available line at +160 (BetOnline.ag) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.
2
Baseball is a moneyline-driven sport where even heavy favorites only win ~60-65% of the time. A 65% implied probability pushes the edge of MLB value — the juice gets steep fast. Line shopping yields a +160 vs +153 range on the dog.
3
Market overround at 4.0% is in the normal range with 11 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 65% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
ROCKIES
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
PIRATES
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | ROCKIES | PIRATES |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +1.5 -134 | -1.5 +112 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 +110 |
| MyBookie.ag | +1.5 -137 | -1.5 +113 |
| BetOnline.ag | +1.5 -132 | -1.5 +112 |
| LowVig.ag | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 +115 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -135 | -1.5 +115 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -132 | -1.5 +109 |
| BetUS | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 +110 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -148 | -1.5 +120 |
| BetMGM | +1.5 -130 | -1.5 +110 |
| Bovada | +1.5 -135 | -1.5 +115 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
4.0%
Best Pittsburgh Pirates
-176 (BetUS)
Best Colorado Rockies
+160 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Rockies: +153 to +160
Pirates: -200 to -176
Place Your Bet
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