MLB
Wed, May 13, 6:41 PM ET
Washington Nationals
Away
@
Cincinnati Reds
Home
Spread
+1.5
Total
9
ML
-172
AI Pick
Edge: total
67%
TOTAL
Under 9
Confidence67%
Cincinnati Reds 63%Washington Nationals 40%
AI Analysis
1

Total set at 9 with Over priced at -120 (55%) and Under at -102 (50%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

2

Baseball is a moneyline-driven sport where even heavy favorites only win ~60-65% of the time. A 63% implied probability pushes the edge of MLB value — the juice gets steep fast. Line shopping yields a +156 vs +135 range on the dog.

3

Line shopping is critical here — 21-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 6.3% to expected ROI. Best available at BetOnline.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.

Matchup Overview
NATIONALS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
REDS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookNATIONALSREDS
FanDuel+1.5 -138-1.5 +115
Fanatics+1.5 -145-1.5 +120
MyBookie.ag+1.5 -146-1.5 +118
BetOnline.ag+1.5 -132-1.5 +112
LowVig.ag+1.5 -130-1.5 +115
Caesars+1.5 -130-1.5 +110
DraftKings+1.5 -137-1.5 +114
BetUS+1.5 -135-1.5 +115
BetRivers+1.5 -157-1.5 +125
BetMGM+1.5 -135-1.5 +115
Bovada+1.5 -140-1.5 +120
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
3.9%
Best Cincinnati Reds
-167 (BetRivers)
Best Washington Nationals
+156 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Reds: -180 to -167
Nationals: +135 to +156
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

Share This Pick
More MLB Picks
MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers
SPREAD
Texas Rangers +1.5
MLB
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros
SPREAD
Houston Astros +1.5
MLB
Miami Marlins @ Minnesota Twins
SPREAD
Miami Marlins +1.5