Market pricing Detroit Tigers at 40% implied probability, but the best available line at +152 (FanDuel) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

Baseball is a moneyline-driven sport where even heavy favorites only win ~60-65% of the time. A 64% implied probability pushes the edge of MLB value — the juice gets steep fast. Line shopping yields a +152 vs +150 range on the dog.

Market overround at 4.1% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 67% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.