Total set at 5.5 with Over priced at -158 (61%) and Under at +118 (46%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

Baseball is a moneyline-driven sport where even heavy favorites only win ~60-65% of the time. A 97% implied probability pushes the edge of MLB value — the juice gets steep fast. Line shopping yields a +1100 vs +875 range on the dog.

Line shopping is critical here — 225-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 67.5% to expected ROI. Best available at FanDuel vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.