⚽ MLS
Wed, May 13, 7:15 PM ETNew York City FC
Away
@
Charlotte FC
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
+128
AI Pick
Edge: total
67%
TOTAL
Under 2.5
Confidence67%
Charlotte FC 42%New York City FC 35%
AI Analysis
1
Total set at 2.5 with Over priced at -143 (59%) and Under at +110 (48%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.
2
Soccer markets must price the draw, making two-way moneyline analysis incomplete. With Charlotte FC at 42% and the draw probability implied around 23%, the pricing suggests a tight match where draw equity depresses both sides. Home pitch advantage is significant in soccer.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 20-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 6.0% to expected ROI. Best available at BetRivers vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
FC
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
FC
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | FC | FC |
|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag | +0.5 -156 | -0.5 +118 |
| BetOnline.ag | 0 +107 | 0 -127 |
| LowVig.ag | 0 +107 | 0 -127 |
| BetUS | 0 +105 | 0 -135 |
| Bovada | 0 +108 | 0 -128 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
5.9%
Best Charlotte FC
+147 (BetOnline.ag)
Best New York City FC
+195 (BetRivers)
Line Shopping Range
FC: +128 to +147
FC: +175 to +195
Draw: +240 to +255
Place Your Bet
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