MLS
Wed, May 13, 7:15 PM ET
New York City FC
Away
@
Charlotte FC
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
+128
AI Pick
Edge: total
67%
TOTAL
Under 2.5
Confidence67%
Charlotte FC 42%New York City FC 35%
AI Analysis
1

Total set at 2.5 with Over priced at -143 (59%) and Under at +110 (48%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

2

Soccer markets must price the draw, making two-way moneyline analysis incomplete. With Charlotte FC at 42% and the draw probability implied around 23%, the pricing suggests a tight match where draw equity depresses both sides. Home pitch advantage is significant in soccer.

3

Line shopping is critical here — 20-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 6.0% to expected ROI. Best available at BetRivers vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.

Matchup Overview
FC
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
FC
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookFCFC
MyBookie.ag+0.5 -156-0.5 +118
BetOnline.ag0 +1070 -127
LowVig.ag0 +1070 -127
BetUS0 +1050 -135
Bovada0 +1080 -128
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
5.9%
Best Charlotte FC
+147 (BetOnline.ag)
Best New York City FC
+195 (BetRivers)
Line Shopping Range
FC: +128 to +147
FC: +175 to +195
Draw: +240 to +255
Place Your Bet

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