🏀 NCAAB
Fri, Mar 27, 9:45 PM ETMichigan St Spartans
Away
@
UConn Huskies
Home
Spread
+1.5
Total
134.5
ML
-130
AI Pick
Edge: spread
77%
SPREAD
Michigan St Spartans +1.5
Confidence77%
UConn Huskies 56%Michigan St Spartans 48%
AI Analysis
1
The 1.5-point spread combined with a 56/48 moneyline split creates a cushion play. Getting 1.5 points in a game the market prices this tight is the structural edge.
2
Spread at 1.5 points with home court advantage baked in (NBA home teams cover ~52% historically). Moneyline at 56/48 confirms this is closer than the spread suggests.
3
Market overround at 4.5% is in the normal range with 11 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 77% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
SPARTANS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
HUSKIES
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | SPARTANS | HUSKIES |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +1.5 -108 | -1.5 -112 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -114 | -1.5 -106 |
| LowVig.ag | +2 -111 | -2 -101 |
| BetOnline.ag | +2 -115 | -2 -105 |
| Caesars | +2 -110 | -2 -110 |
| BetMGM | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -108 | -1.5 -115 |
| MyBookie.ag | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| Bovada | +2 -115 | -2 -105 |
| BetUS | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | +2 -110 | -2 -110 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
4.5%
Best UConn Huskies
-120 (FanDuel)
Best Michigan St Spartans
+110 (DraftKings)
Line Shopping Range
Spartans: +100 to +110
Huskies: -136 to -120
Place Your Bet
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