Market pricing NC State Wolfpack at 39% implied probability, but the best available line at +168 (FanDuel) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

Spread of 5.5 points — right at the field goal margin — the most common NFL final margin. Home field adds roughly 2.5-3 points of built-in advantage.

Line shopping is critical here — 18-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 5.4% to expected ROI. Best available at FanDuel vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.