🏈 NCAAF
Sat, Sep 5, 3:45 PM ETOklahoma State Cowboys
Away
@
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Home
Spread
-12.5
Total
61.5
ML
+390
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
77%
MONEYLINE
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Confidence77%
Oklahoma State Cowboys 84%Tulsa Golden Hurricane 20%
AI Analysis
1
Oklahoma State Cowboys commands 84% implied win probability with 4-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Spread of 12.5 points — double-digit spreads in football cover only ~47% historically, creating inherent dog value. Road favorites must overcome roughly 3 points of home field baked into the line.
3
Market overround at 4.6% is in the normal range with 4 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 77% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
COWBOYS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
4
HURRICANE
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | COWBOYS | HURRICANE |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -12.5 -112 | +12.5 -108 |
| BetOnline.ag | -12.5 -110 | +12.5 -110 |
| LowVig.ag | -12.5 -106 | +12.5 -106 |
| BetUS | -12.5 -110 | +12.5 -110 |
| Caesars | -12.5 -112 | +12.5 -108 |
| Bovada | -12.5 -110 | +12.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | -13.5 -105 | +13.5 -115 |
| BetMGM | -12.5 -110 | +12.5 -110 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
4
Overround
4.6%
Best Oklahoma State Cowboys
-520 (DraftKings)
Best Tulsa Golden Hurricane
+390 (DraftKings)
Line Shopping Range
Cowboys: -550 to -520
Hurricane: +385 to +390
Place Your Bet
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