🏈 NCAAF
Sat, Sep 5, 12:00 PM ET
Baylor Bears
Away
@
Auburn Tigers
Home
Spread
+7.5
Total
58.5
ML
-315
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
73%
MONEYLINE
Auburn Tigers
Confidence73%
Auburn Tigers 74%Baylor Bears 31%
AI Analysis
1

Auburn Tigers commands 74% implied win probability with 5-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

2

Spread of 7.5 points — key number territory where games cluster around touchdown margins. Home field adds roughly 2.5-3 points of built-in advantage.

3

Line shopping is critical here — 50-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 15.0% to expected ROI. Best available at FanDuel vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.

Matchup Overview
BEARS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
5
TIGERS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookBEARSTIGERS
FanDuel+7.5 -110-7.5 -110
Fanatics+7.5 -115-7.5 -105
DraftKings+6.5 -112-6.5 -108
BetMGM+6.5 -105-6.5 -115
Caesars+7.5 -117-7.5 -104
BetRivers+7.5 -110-7.5 -113
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
5
Overround
5.0%
Best Auburn Tigers
-265 (DraftKings)
Best Baylor Bears
+250 (FanDuel)
Line Shopping Range
Tigers: -315 to -265
Bears: +200 to +250
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

Share This Pick
More NCAAF Picks
NCAAF
Ohio State Buckeyes @ Texas Longhorns
SPREAD
Ohio State Buckeyes +1.5
NCAAF
Clemson Tigers @ LSU Tigers
MONEYLINE
LSU Tigers
NCAAF
North Carolina Tar Heels @ TCU Horned Frogs
MONEYLINE
TCU Horned Frogs