Alabama Crimson Tide commands 98% implied win probability with 1-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

Spread of 26.5 points — double-digit spreads in football cover only ~47% historically, creating inherent dog value. Home field adds roughly 2.5-3 points of built-in advantage.

Overround at just 3.7% signals an unusually efficient market — edges here are small but more likely to be real. This is a low-vig environment where the math is reliable.