🏈 NCAAF
Sun, Sep 6, 12:00 PM ETNotre Dame Fighting Irish
Away
@
Wisconsin Badgers
Home
Spread
-19.5
Total
46.5
ML
+920
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
71%
MONEYLINE
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Confidence71%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 95%Wisconsin Badgers 9%
AI Analysis
1
Notre Dame Fighting Irish commands 95% implied win probability with 5-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Spread of 19.5 points — double-digit spreads in football cover only ~47% historically, creating inherent dog value. Road favorites must overcome roughly 3 points of home field baked into the line.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 200-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 60.0% to expected ROI. Best available at DraftKings vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
IRISH
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
5
BADGERS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | IRISH | BADGERS |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -19.5 -110 | +19.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | -20.5 -108 | +20.5 -112 |
| BetMGM | -19.5 -110 | +19.5 -110 |
| Caesars | -19.5 -113 | +19.5 -107 |
| BetRivers | -20.5 -114 | +20.5 -109 |
| Fanatics | -19.5 -110 | +19.5 -110 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
5
Overround
4.4%
Best Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-1800 (FanDuel)
Best Wisconsin Badgers
+1100 (DraftKings)
Line Shopping Range
Irish: -2100 to -1800
Badgers: +900 to +1100
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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