🏈 NFL
Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs
Away
@
Miami Dolphins
Home
Spread
-7
Total
44.5
ML
+270
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
71%
MONEYLINE
Kansas City Chiefs
Confidence71%
Kansas City Chiefs 78%Miami Dolphins 27%
AI Analysis
1

Kansas City Chiefs commands 78% implied win probability with 2-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

2

Spread of 7 points — key number territory where games cluster around touchdown margins. Road favorites must overcome roughly 3 points of home field baked into the line.

3

Market overround at 4.7% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 71% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.

Matchup Overview
CHIEFS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
2
DOLPHINS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookCHIEFSDOLPHINS
DraftKings-7 -115+7 -105
Caesars-7.5 -115+7.5 -115
BetUS-7 -115+7 -105
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
2
Overround
4.7%
Best Kansas City Chiefs
-340 (DraftKings)
Best Miami Dolphins
+285 (Caesars)
Line Shopping Range
Chiefs: -380 to -340
Dolphins: +270 to +285
Place Your Bet

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