🏈 NFL
Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs
Away
@
Miami Dolphins
Home
Spread
-7
Total
44.5
ML
+270
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
71%
MONEYLINE
Kansas City Chiefs
Confidence71%
Kansas City Chiefs 78%Miami Dolphins 27%
AI Analysis
1
Kansas City Chiefs commands 78% implied win probability with 2-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Spread of 7 points — key number territory where games cluster around touchdown margins. Road favorites must overcome roughly 3 points of home field baked into the line.
3
Market overround at 4.7% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 71% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
CHIEFS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
2
DOLPHINS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | CHIEFS | DOLPHINS |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -7 -115 | +7 -105 |
| Caesars | -7.5 -115 | +7.5 -115 |
| BetUS | -7 -115 | +7 -105 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
2
Overround
4.7%
Best Kansas City Chiefs
-340 (DraftKings)
Best Miami Dolphins
+285 (Caesars)
Line Shopping Range
Chiefs: -380 to -340
Dolphins: +270 to +285
Place Your Bet
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