🏈 NFL
Thu, Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETDetroit Lions
Away
@
Buffalo Bills
Home
Spread
+3
Total
52.5
ML
-162
AI Pick
Edge: sharp
67%
MONEYLINE
Detroit Lions
Confidence67%
Buffalo Bills 63%Detroit Lions 41%
AI Analysis
1
Line movement across 7 books suggests sharp money driving this side. The +133-to-+160 range on Detroit Lions indicates books are adjusting to professional action.
2
Spread of 3 points — right at the field goal margin — the most common NFL final margin. Home field adds roughly 2.5-3 points of built-in advantage.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 27-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 8.1% to expected ROI. Best available at Caesars vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
LIONS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
7
BILLS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | LIONS | BILLS |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| BetOnline.ag | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| BetMGM | +3 -115 | -3 -105 |
| LowVig.ag | +3 -105 | -3 -105 |
| Bovada | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| BetRivers | +3 -110 | -3 -112 |
| Fanatics | +3 -105 | -3 -115 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
7
Overround
4.3%
Best Buffalo Bills
-160 (Bovada)
Best Detroit Lions
+160 (Caesars)
Line Shopping Range
Bills: -191 to -160
Lions: +133 to +160
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Share This Pick
More NFL Picks