🏈 NFL
Mon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETDenver Broncos
Away
@
Kansas City Chiefs
Home
Spread
+2.5
Total
42.5
ML
-155
AI Pick
Edge: value
73%
MONEYLINE
Denver Broncos
Confidence73%
Kansas City Chiefs 60%Denver Broncos 44%
AI Analysis
1
Market pricing Denver Broncos at 44% implied probability, but the best available line at +135 (Caesars) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.
2
Spread of 2.5 points — a tight number reflecting a competitive matchup. Home field adds roughly 2.5-3 points of built-in advantage.
3
Market overround at 4.3% is in the normal range with 5 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 73% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
BRONCOS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
5
CHIEFS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | BRONCOS | CHIEFS |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +2.5 +100 | -2.5 -120 |
| Caesars | +3 -110 | -3 -110 |
| Fanatics | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -110 |
| LowVig.ag | +2.5 +100 | -2.5 -110 |
| BetOnline.ag | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 |
| BetMGM | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
5
Overround
4.3%
Best Kansas City Chiefs
-142 (FanDuel)
Best Denver Broncos
+135 (Caesars)
Line Shopping Range
Broncos: +120 to +135
Chiefs: -160 to -142
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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