🏈 NFL
Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET
Baltimore Ravens
Away
@
Indianapolis Colts
Home
Spread
-3.5
Total
49.5
ML
+160
AI Pick
Edge: spread
75%
SPREAD
Baltimore Ravens -3.5
Confidence75%
Baltimore Ravens 66%Indianapolis Colts 38%
AI Analysis
1

The 3.5-point spread combined with a 66/38 moneyline split creates a cushion play. Getting 3.5 points in a game the market prices this tight is the structural edge.

2

Spread of 3.5 points — right at the field goal margin — the most common NFL final margin. Road favorites must overcome roughly 3 points of home field baked into the line.

3

Market overround at 4.2% is in the normal range with 11 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 75% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.

Matchup Overview
RAVENS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
COLTS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookRAVENSCOLTS
DraftKings-3.5 -110+3.5 -110
BetUS-3.5 -110+3.5 -110
Fanatics-3.5 -110+3.5 -110
LowVig.ag-3.5 -105+3.5 -105
BetRivers-3.5 -113+3.5 -109
BetOnline.ag-3.5 -110+3.5 -110
Caesars-3.5 -110+3.5 -110
FanDuel-3.5 -115+3.5 -105
BetMGM-3.5 -115+3.5 -105
Bovada-3.5 -110+3.5 -110
MyBookie.ag-3.5 -110+3.5 -110
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
4.2%
Best Baltimore Ravens
-190 (BetUS)
Best Indianapolis Colts
+172 (FanDuel)
Line Shopping Range
Ravens: -210 to -190
Colts: +158 to +172
Place Your Bet

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