🏈 NFL
Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots
Away
@
Detroit Lions
Home
Spread
+1.5
Total
48.5
ML
-125
AI Pick
Edge: sharp
70%
MONEYLINE
New England Patriots
Confidence70%
Detroit Lions 55%New England Patriots 49%
AI Analysis
1
Line movement across 4 books suggests sharp money driving this side. The -104-to-+117 range on New England Patriots indicates books are adjusting to professional action.
2
Spread of 1.5 points — a tight number reflecting a competitive matchup. Home field adds roughly 2.5-3 points of built-in advantage.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 221-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 66.3% to expected ROI. Best available at Caesars vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
PATRIOTS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
4
LIONS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | PATRIOTS | LIONS |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +1.5 -110 | -1.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -120 | -1.5 -102 |
| BetMGM | +1.5 -115 | -1.5 -105 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
4
Overround
4.3%
Best Detroit Lions
-112 (FanDuel)
Best New England Patriots
+117 (Caesars)
Line Shopping Range
Lions: -140 to -112
Patriots: -104 to +117
Place Your Bet
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