🏈 NFL
Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETTampa Bay Buccaneers
Away
@
Cincinnati Bengals
Home
Spread
+3.5
Total
50.5
ML
-198
AI Pick
Edge: spread
74%
SPREAD
Cincinnati Bengals -3.5
Confidence74%
Cincinnati Bengals 66%Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38%
AI Analysis
1
The 3.5-point spread combined with a 66/38 moneyline split creates a cushion play. Getting 3.5 points in a game the market prices this tight is the structural edge.
2
Spread of 3.5 points — right at the field goal margin — the most common NFL final margin. Home field adds roughly 2.5-3 points of built-in advantage.
3
Market overround at 4.2% is in the normal range with 11 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 74% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
BUCCANEERS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
11
BENGALS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | BUCCANEERS | BENGALS |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| LowVig.ag | +3.5 -105 | -3.5 -105 |
| BetUS | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| BetOnline.ag | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -113 |
| Fanatics | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +3.5 -108 | -3.5 -112 |
| BetMGM | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| Bovada | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
| MyBookie.ag | +3.5 -110 | -3.5 -110 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
11
Overround
4.2%
Best Cincinnati Bengals
-190 (LowVig.ag)
Best Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+165 (LowVig.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Bengals: -204 to -190
Buccaneers: +158 to +165
Place Your Bet
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