The 0.25-point spread combined with a 46/27 moneyline split creates a cushion play. Getting 0.25 points in a game the market prices this tight is the structural edge.

Market split of 46/27 across 5 books with a 0.25-point spread. Home advantage factors into the pricing.

Line shopping is critical here — 45-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 13.5% to expected ROI. Best available at LowVig.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.