⚽ Serie A
Sun, May 17, 6:30 AM ETAC Milan
Away
@
Genoa
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
+360
AI Pick
Edge: spread
69%
SPREAD
Genoa +0.75
Confidence69%
AC Milan 58%Genoa 21%
AI Analysis
1
The 0.75-point spread combined with a 58/21 moneyline split creates a cushion play. Getting 0.75 points in a game the market prices this tight is the structural edge.
2
Market split of 58/21 across 10 books with a 0.75-point spread. Away team is favored, indicating a meaningful edge in the market view.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 50-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 15.0% to expected ROI. Best available at BetMGM vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
MILAN
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
10
GENOA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | MILAN | GENOA |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -0.75 -105 | +0.75 -115 |
| LowVig.ag | -0.75 -101 | +0.75 -119 |
| BetOnline.ag | -0.75 -101 | +0.75 -119 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
10
Overround
6.0%
Best AC Milan
-130 (LowVig.ag)
Best Genoa
+380 (BetMGM)
Line Shopping Range
Milan: -145 to -130
Genoa: +330 to +380
Draw: +260 to +285
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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