⚽ Serie A
Mon, Aug 24, 2:45 PM ETFiorentina
Away
@
AS Roma
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-210
AI Pick
Edge: contrarian
55%
MONEYLINE
Fiorentina
Confidence55%
AS Roma 68%Fiorentina 15%
AI Analysis
1
Taking the contrarian side here: despite AS Roma being the public favorite, the 6.4% overround and +600 best line on Fiorentina suggest inflated chalk pricing.
2
Market split of 68/15 across 2 books. Home advantage factors into the pricing.
3
Market overround at 6.4% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 55% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
FIORENTINA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
2
ROMA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | FIORENTINA | ROMA |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
2
Overround
6.4%
Best AS Roma
-210 (FanDuel)
Best Fiorentina
+600 (Caesars)
Line Shopping Range
Roma: -210 to -210
Fiorentina: +550 to +600
Draw: +320 to +320
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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