The 0.75-point spread combined with a 61/19 moneyline split creates a cushion play. Getting 0.75 points in a game the market prices this tight is the structural edge.

Market split of 61/19 across 10 books with a 0.75-point spread. Home advantage factors into the pricing.

Line shopping is critical here — 95-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 28.5% to expected ROI. Best available at BetUS vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.