Serie A
Sun, May 17, 6:30 AM ET
Lazio
Away
@
AS Roma
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-195
AI Pick
Edge: spread
70%
SPREAD
AS Roma -1
Confidence70%
AS Roma 65%Lazio 17%
AI Analysis
1

The 1-point spread combined with a 65/17 moneyline split creates a cushion play. Getting 1 points in a game the market prices this tight is the structural edge.

2

Market split of 65/17 across 10 books with a 1-point spread. Home advantage factors into the pricing.

3

Line shopping is critical here — 90-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 27.0% to expected ROI. Best available at LowVig.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.

Matchup Overview
LAZIO
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
10
ROMA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookLAZIOROMA
Bovada+1 -118-1 -102
LowVig.ag+1 -110-1 -110
BetOnline.ag+1 -110-1 -110
BetUS+1 -118-1 -102
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
10
Overround
5.8%
Best AS Roma
-175 (BetMGM)
Best Lazio
+540 (LowVig.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Roma: -195 to -175
Lazio: +450 to +540
Draw: +300 to +330
Place Your Bet

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