Serie A
Sun, Aug 23, 2:45 PM ET
Sassuolo
Away
@
Atalanta BC
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-210
AI Pick
Edge: contrarian
52%
MONEYLINE
Sassuolo
Confidence52%
Atalanta BC 67%Sassuolo 17%
AI Analysis
1

Taking the contrarian side here: despite Atalanta BC being the public favorite, the 6.6% overround and +500 best line on Sassuolo suggest inflated chalk pricing.

2

Market split of 67/17 across 2 books. Home advantage factors into the pricing.

3

Market overround at 6.6% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 52% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.

Matchup Overview
SASSUOLO
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
2
BC
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookSASSUOLOBC
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
2
Overround
6.6%
Best Atalanta BC
-190 (Caesars)
Best Sassuolo
+500 (FanDuel)
Line Shopping Range
BC: -210 to -190
Sassuolo: +500 to +500
Draw: +320 to +340
Place Your Bet

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