⚽ Serie A
Sun, Apr 12, 9:00 AM ETNapoli
Away
@
Parma
Home
Spread
-0.75
Total
2.25
ML
+445
AI Pick
Edge: spread
70%
SPREAD
Napoli -0.75
Confidence70%
Napoli 60%Parma 18%
AI Analysis
1
The 0.75-point spread combined with a 60/18 moneyline split creates a cushion play. Getting 0.75 points in a game the market prices this tight is the structural edge.
2
Market split of 60/18 across 5 books with a 0.75-point spread. Away team is favored, indicating a meaningful edge in the market view.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 65-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 19.5% to expected ROI. Best available at LowVig.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
NAPOLI
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
5
PARMA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | NAPOLI | PARMA |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada | -0.75 -112 | +0.75 -108 |
| LowVig.ag | -0.75 -108 | +0.75 -112 |
| BetOnline.ag | -0.75 -108 | +0.75 -112 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
5
Overround
5.9%
Best Napoli
-141 (LowVig.ag)
Best Parma
+465 (LowVig.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Napoli: -165 to -141
Parma: +400 to +465
Draw: +250 to +270
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Share This Pick
More Serie A Picks