Marginal lean based on 57/22 implied probability split across 2 books. The edge is thin but the math tilts slightly in this direction.

Market split of 57/22 across 2 books. Away team is favored, indicating a meaningful edge in the market view.

Overround at 7.2% means books are taking a large cut — 3.6% per side on average. Factor in the vig before sizing this bet; the true edge is narrower than the raw numbers suggest.