Mike Perry commands 71% implied win probability with 1-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 71% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +190 best available on Nate Diaz is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

Market overround at 5.1% is in the normal range with 1 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 67% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.