Taking the contrarian side here: despite Wiktoria Czyżewska being the public favorite, the 7.9% overround and +350 best line on Sara Luzar Smajić suggest inflated chalk pricing.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 86% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +350 best available on Sara Luzar Smajić offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Overround at 7.9% means books are taking a large cut — 4.0% per side on average. Factor in the vig before sizing this bet; the true edge is narrower than the raw numbers suggest.