Robert Watley commands 71% implied win probability with 3-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 71% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +210 best available on Dakota Bush offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Line shopping is critical here — 16-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 4.8% to expected ROI. Best available at BetOnline.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.