🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 8:00 PM ETKhaos Williams
Away
@
Nikolay Veretennikov
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
1.5
ML
+110
AI Pick
Edge: total
74%
TOTAL
Under 1.5
Confidence74%
Khaos Williams 56%Nikolay Veretennikov 49%
AI Analysis
1
Total set at 1.5 with Over priced at -185 (65%) and Under at +161 (38%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 56/49 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +110 best available on Nikolay Veretennikov is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 212-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 63.6% to expected ROI. Best available at BetOnline.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
WILLIAMS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
5
VERETENNIKOV
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | WILLIAMS | VERETENNIKOV |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.5 +130 | +3.5 -175 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
5
Overround
4.6%
Best Khaos Williams
-122 (DraftKings)
Best Nikolay Veretennikov
+110 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Williams: -130 to -122
Veretennikov: -102 to +110
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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