🥊 UFC
Sat, Mar 28, 8:25 PM ETErnesto Rodriguez
Away
@
Masayuki Kikuiri
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
+130
AI Pick
Edge: total
72%
TOTAL
Under 2.5
Confidence72%
Ernesto Rodriguez 61%Masayuki Kikuiri 43%
AI Analysis
1
Total set at 2.5 with Over priced at -145 (59%) and Under at +125 (44%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 61/43 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +140 best available on Masayuki Kikuiri is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 16-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 4.8% to expected ROI. Best available at BetMGM vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
RODRIGUEZ
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
3
KIKUIRI
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | RODRIGUEZ | KIKUIRI |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
3
Overround
4.4%
Best Ernesto Rodriguez
-150 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Masayuki Kikuiri
+140 (BetMGM)
Line Shopping Range
Rodriguez: -170 to -150
Kikuiri: +124 to +140
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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