Tom Aspinall commands 67% implied win probability with 1-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 67/36 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +175 best available on Ciryl Gane is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

Overround at just 3.6% signals an unusually efficient market — edges here are small but more likely to be real. This is a low-vig environment where the math is reliable.