🥊 UFC
Sat, Jun 27, 10:00 PM ETCiryl Gane
Away
@
Tom Aspinall
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-110
AI Pick
Edge: lean
66%
MONEYLINE
Tom Aspinall
Confidence66%
Tom Aspinall 52%Ciryl Gane 52%
AI Analysis
1
Marginal lean based on 52/52 implied probability split across 1 books. The edge is thin but the math tilts slightly in this direction.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 52/52 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The -110 best available on Ciryl Gane is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Market overround at 4.8% is in the normal range with 1 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 66% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
GANE
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
ASPINALL
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | GANE | ASPINALL |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
4.8%
Best Tom Aspinall
-110 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Ciryl Gane
-110 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Gane: -110 to -110
Aspinall: -110 to -110
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Share This Pick
More UFC Picks