Max Holloway commands 70% implied win probability with 4-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 70/34 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +200 best available on Conor McGregor is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

Market overround at 4.5% is in the normal range with 4 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 73% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.