🥊 UFC
Sat, Dec 26, 10:00 PM ETConor McGregor
Away
@
Max Holloway
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-330
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
71%
MONEYLINE
Max Holloway
Confidence71%
Max Holloway 77%Conor McGregor 27%
AI Analysis
1
Max Holloway commands 77% implied win probability with 1-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 77% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +270 best available on Conor McGregor offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.
3
Overround at just 3.8% signals an unusually efficient market — edges here are small but more likely to be real. This is a low-vig environment where the math is reliable.
Matchup Overview
MCGREGOR
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
HOLLOWAY
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | MCGREGOR | HOLLOWAY |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
3.8%
Best Max Holloway
-330 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Conor McGregor
+270 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
McGregor: +270 to +270
Holloway: -330 to -330
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Share This Pick
More UFC Picks