🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 8:00 PM ETPolyana Viana
Away
@
Alice Ardelean
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
-200
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
75%
MONEYLINE
Alice Ardelean
Confidence75%
Alice Ardelean 67%Polyana Viana 37%
AI Analysis
1
Alice Ardelean commands 67% implied win probability with 7-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 67/37 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +175 best available on Polyana Viana is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 17-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 5.1% to expected ROI. Best available at BetRivers vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
VIANA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
7
ARDELEAN
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | VIANA | ARDELEAN |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
7
Overround
4.5%
Best Alice Ardelean
-200 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Polyana Viana
+175 (BetRivers)
Line Shopping Range
Ardelean: -220 to -200
Viana: +158 to +175
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
Share This Pick
More UFC Picks