🥊 UFC
Sun, Jul 19, 12:30 AM ETKamaru Usman
Away
@
Dricus Du Plessis
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-350
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
71%
MONEYLINE
Dricus Du Plessis
Confidence71%
Dricus Du Plessis 78%Kamaru Usman 27%
AI Analysis
1
Dricus Du Plessis commands 78% implied win probability with 4-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 78% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +285 best available on Kamaru Usman offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.
3
Line shopping is critical here — 35-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 10.5% to expected ROI. Best available at BetOnline.ag vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.
Matchup Overview
USMAN
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
4
PLESSIS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | USMAN | PLESSIS |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
4
Overround
5.3%
Best Dricus Du Plessis
-340 (DraftKings)
Best Kamaru Usman
+285 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Plessis: -375 to -340
Usman: +250 to +285
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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