Total set at 2.5 with Over priced at -500 (83%) and Under at +375 (21%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 63/42 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +145 best available on Ketlen Vieira is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

Market overround at 4.4% is in the normal range with 7 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 76% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.