🥊 UFC
Fri, May 15, 9:00 PM ETPetchtanong Petchfergus
Away
@
Ben Woolliss
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
+120
AI Pick
Edge: value
70%
MONEYLINE
Ben Woolliss
Confidence70%
Petchtanong Petchfergus 62%Ben Woolliss 44%
AI Analysis
1
Market pricing Ben Woolliss at 44% implied probability, but the best available line at +132 (FanDuel) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 62/44 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +132 best available on Ben Woolliss is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Market overround at 6.5% is in the normal range with 2 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 70% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
PETCHFERGUS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
2
WOOLLISS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | PETCHFERGUS | WOOLLISS |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
2
Overround
6.5%
Best Petchtanong Petchfergus
-160 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Ben Woolliss
+132 (FanDuel)
Line Shopping Range
Woolliss: +120 to +132
Petchfergus: -170 to -160
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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