🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 8:00 PM ETBenardo Sopaj
Away
@
Timothy Cuamba
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
+135
AI Pick
Edge: value
74%
MONEYLINE
Timothy Cuamba
Confidence74%
Benardo Sopaj 61%Timothy Cuamba 43%
AI Analysis
1
Market pricing Timothy Cuamba at 43% implied probability, but the best available line at +137 (Bovada) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 61/43 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +137 best available on Timothy Cuamba is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Market overround at 4.5% is in the normal range with 7 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 74% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
SOPAJ
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
7
CUAMBA
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | SOPAJ | CUAMBA |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -3.5 +120 | +3.5 -160 |
| Bovada | -3.5 +135 | +3.5 -175 |
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
7
Overround
4.5%
Best Benardo Sopaj
-155 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Timothy Cuamba
+137 (Bovada)
Line Shopping Range
Sopaj: -174 to -155
Cuamba: +125 to +137
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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