Taking the contrarian side here: despite Altin Zenuni being the public favorite, the 8.5% overround and +225 best line on Dawid Jarowienko suggest inflated chalk pricing.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 78% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +225 best available on Dawid Jarowienko offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.

Overround at 8.5% means books are taking a large cut — 4.3% per side on average. Factor in the vig before sizing this bet; the true edge is narrower than the raw numbers suggest.