🥊 UFC
Sat, Dec 26, 10:00 PM ETPaddy Pimblett
Away
@
Benoit Saint-Denis
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-200
AI Pick
Edge: chalk
69%
MONEYLINE
Benoit Saint-Denis
Confidence69%
Benoit Saint-Denis 67%Paddy Pimblett 37%
AI Analysis
1
Benoit Saint-Denis commands 67% implied win probability with 1-book consensus — this is a market-confirmed lean with minimal disagreement across sportsbooks.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 67/37 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +170 best available on Paddy Pimblett is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Overround at just 3.7% signals an unusually efficient market — edges here are small but more likely to be real. This is a low-vig environment where the math is reliable.
Matchup Overview
PIMBLETT
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
SAINT-DENIS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | PIMBLETT | SAINT-DENIS |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
3.7%
Best Benoit Saint-Denis
-200 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Paddy Pimblett
+170 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Saint-Denis: -200 to -200
Pimblett: +170 to +170
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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