Market pricing Paddy Pimblett at 41% implied probability, but the best available line at +142 (DraftKings) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 63/41 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +142 best available on Paddy Pimblett is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

Market overround at 4.3% is in the normal range with 1 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 63% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.