🥊 UFC
Sat, Jul 11, 10:45 PM ET
Benoit Saint-Denis
Away
@
Paddy Pimblett
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
+130
AI Pick
Edge: value
67%
MONEYLINE
Paddy Pimblett
Confidence67%
Benoit Saint-Denis 61%Paddy Pimblett 43%
AI Analysis
1

Market pricing Paddy Pimblett at 43% implied probability, but the best available line at +142 (FanDuel) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

2

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 61/43 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +142 best available on Paddy Pimblett is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

3

Line shopping is critical here — 20-point odds gap across books means getting the best number adds 6.0% to expected ROI. Best available at FanDuel vs worst creates meaningful EV difference.

Matchup Overview
SAINT-DENIS
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
5
PIMBLETT
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookSAINT-DENISPIMBLETT
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
5
Overround
4.3%
Best Benoit Saint-Denis
-145 (Caesars)
Best Paddy Pimblett
+142 (FanDuel)
Line Shopping Range
Saint-Denis: -184 to -145
Pimblett: +122 to +142
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

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