🥊 UFC
Thu, Dec 31, 2:00 PM ETConor McGregor
Away
@
Michael Chandler
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
N/A
ML
-120
AI Pick
Edge: lean
66%
MONEYLINE
Michael Chandler
Confidence66%
Michael Chandler 55%Conor McGregor 50%
AI Analysis
1
Marginal lean based on 55/50 implied probability split across 1 books. The edge is thin but the math tilts slightly in this direction.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 55/50 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +100 best available on Conor McGregor is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.
3
Market overround at 4.5% is in the normal range with 1 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 66% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
MCGREGOR
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
CHANDLER
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | MCGREGOR | CHANDLER |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
4.5%
Best Michael Chandler
-120 (DraftKings)
Best Conor McGregor
+100 (DraftKings)
Line Shopping Range
McGregor: +100 to +100
Chandler: -120 to -120
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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