🥊 UFC
Sat, Mar 28, 4:00 PM ET
Adrian Yanez
Away
@
Ricky Simon
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
2.5
ML
-150
AI Pick
Edge: value
75%
MONEYLINE
Adrian Yanez
Confidence75%
Ricky Simon 60%Adrian Yanez 44%
AI Analysis
1

Market pricing Adrian Yanez at 44% implied probability, but the best available line at +130 (BetOnline.ag) offers value beyond what the consensus supports.

2

Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — a 60/44 split means the market sees a competitive fight where the underdog has real paths to victory. The +130 best available on Adrian Yanez is relatively tight for a dog in this sport.

3

Market overround at 4.4% is in the normal range with 8 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 75% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.

Matchup Overview
YANEZ
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
8
SIMON
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
SportsbookYANEZSIMON
DraftKings+3.5 -205-3.5 +150
Bovada+3.5 -225-3.5 +170
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
8
Overround
4.4%
Best Ricky Simon
-145 (Caesars)
Best Adrian Yanez
+130 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Yanez: +120 to +130
Simon: -159 to -145
Place Your Bet

21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.

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