🥊 UFC
Sat, May 16, 8:00 PM ETGina Carano
Away
@
Ronda Rousey
Home
Spread
N/A
Total
1.5
ML
-600
AI Pick
Edge: total
74%
TOTAL
Over 1.5
Confidence74%
Ronda Rousey 86%Gina Carano 19%
AI Analysis
1
Total set at 1.5 with Over priced at +174 (36%) and Under at -200 (67%) — the skew on this line offers a mathematical angle.
2
Combat sports produce some of the widest odds differentials — at 86% the market sees a significant skill gap, but upsets at this price range happen 20-30% of the time. The +425 best available on Gina Carano offers strong plus-money if they can execute their game plan.
3
Market overround at 4.8% is in the normal range with 1 books pricing this game. Confidence level of 74% accounts for the vig-adjusted edge.
Matchup Overview
CARANO
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
vs
Books
1
ROUSEY
Record
--
Recent Form
L5: 3-2
Bet Types
| Sportsbook | CARANO | ROUSEY |
|---|
Edge Analysis
Books Tracked
1
Overround
4.8%
Best Ronda Rousey
-600 (BetOnline.ag)
Best Gina Carano
+425 (BetOnline.ag)
Line Shopping Range
Carano: +425 to +425
Rousey: -600 to -600
Place Your Bet
21+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please bet responsibly.
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